So a huge points rally on the first day of trading after Christmas day - is it significant?
1000 points IS a big move - BUT when looked at in PERCENTAGE terms - yesterday's move did NOT even make it in to the top 20 moves since 1900 !
For source click here : Percentage moves of Dow Jones Industrial
Now look at the daily chart:
1. after a down trend of 16 days it is normal to have a reaction rally
2. can be 4-7 days long
3. some upside targets 23231, 24284 ( Fibonacci levels)
4. Longer term down trend still intact until 26100 breached
So this kind of move will generate a lot of short covering - so volatility will still be a major feature of the markets.
Pick your moments to go long or re-short
What about other markets?
FTSE daily
No break of down trend
DAX daily
Again no break of down trend
Strategy:
Probably range bound until New Year -
Correction which will alleviate oversold conditions
Once this is done - one more move down the real panic wash out
DAX 10220
FTSE 6300 (BUT may be affected by currency moves)
DOW new target 20k
CAVEAT: Watch the down trend and especially the much higher levels for a change in trend
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