The DJIA is a narrow index but it is the headline index - for the major news outlets.
The monthly chart shows negative divergence between Price and RSI
Since Jan 2018 the market has tried 3 times to break to new highs -
so this can be a consolidation (as in minor bear move, followed by new highs) or a topping formation (as in major bear market)
Who knows which it will be?
keep eye on levels 27650 and 24500 - short term.
breaking 24500 targets the December 2018 lows
breaking the highs could see a fast move higher
as always there are various scenarios - depends on your time frames, and style of trading
Technical analysis of Major Markets, F/X, and anything that can be traded This is my diary for trading Views expressed in this are only for educational purposes. They ARE NOT recommendations to BUY or SELL anything!! ALL comments and criticisms welcome.
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Look back over the past, with its changing empires that rose and fell, and you can foresee the future too.
— Marcus Aurelius
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Showing posts with label trading strategy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trading strategy. Show all posts
Tuesday, August 6, 2019
Jack be nimble....
Wow - some overnight moves - sometimes it pays to stay up a little longer when markets are like this.
So overnight it looks like there was a mini capitulation of sellers (see chart) - and a subsequent short-covering rally.
So now where?
The drop tagged the 78.6 % Fibonacci retracement level, and rallied 600 points - these markets are NOT for the faint-hearted- hence the title of the post -
1. this fall may mean more to come medium-term
2. snapback rallies can go further than one might think.
Strategy
keep an eye on key levels for buy/sell opportunities
if trading intraday - be vigilant - and manage risk
best strategy is to wait for key levels
So overnight it looks like there was a mini capitulation of sellers (see chart) - and a subsequent short-covering rally.
So now where?
The drop tagged the 78.6 % Fibonacci retracement level, and rallied 600 points - these markets are NOT for the faint-hearted- hence the title of the post -
1. this fall may mean more to come medium-term
2. snapback rallies can go further than one might think.
Strategy
keep an eye on key levels for buy/sell opportunities
if trading intraday - be vigilant - and manage risk
best strategy is to wait for key levels
Wednesday, October 31, 2018
Break out
DOW: finally a break??
Yesterday's rally may have broken the wedge to the upside.
Now it needs follow through, a failure here would probably mean trading back into the wedge and testing the lows again. Volatility still persists.
Gut feel: still didn't seem to be enough pessimism for a bottom - we'll see.
Rallies like yesterday's can be self fulfilling as short covering increases.
The market was DUE a bounce - so expected.
At moment many markets are near resistance.
Good area to try a short - with a tight stop. for a short term trade
If it does follow through on volume, but the dips.
Initial targets: 25300, 25800 - on the upside.
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