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Look back over the past, with its changing empires that rose and fell, and you can foresee the future too.

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Wednesday, August 7, 2019

Bounce back - what next

The bounce-back - now what?
Technically: markets were oversold, the fall overnight, when the Dow futures were down by 600 points, was low participation and by the time Europe opened the relief rally was underway.
2000 points loss on the dow in less than a week.

some charts and possible paths for the rally
WATCH THE VOLUME ON THE BOUNCE - LOW VOLUME WILL BE A WARNING THAT ALL IS NOT RIGHT!!

DOW daily
The fall overnight pierced the 200 DMA - for some that is a KEY LEVEL, so it looks like the PPT may have stepped in to prevent a crash on Tuesday morning
so a stick save - but where to now?
The "managed" fall tagged the lower upper trend line - so if the bull trend is in force then the rally should head to the upper trend line if this rally is only a correction of this fall likely target is 62 % retrace (marked in red)


Nasdaq daily

Looks like the fall also tagged the rising trend line so BULL market still intact
However, the fall was characterised by a few gaps down so it is possible that an attempt to fill the gaps will happen.
marked on chart at 7640



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