Technical analysis of Major Markets, F/X, and anything that can be traded This is my diary for trading Views expressed in this are only for educational purposes. They ARE NOT recommendations to BUY or SELL anything!! ALL comments and criticisms welcome.
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Look back over the past, with its changing empires that rose and fell, and you can foresee the future too.
— Marcus Aurelius
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Wednesday, October 29, 2008
too much , too soon? or too much - too late?
Markets rally 10 % in ONE day !- mainly shorts covering positions, and the fact that markets are SEVERELY oversold SHORT TERM.. - so what does that mean? Mainly that long term investors have not had time to commit "new" money to the market...LONGER term problems have not been solved - expect more volatile trading and possibly one more LEG down..
so what would be ideal ? Another test of the lows and a few weeks trading near the lows - giving time to build a base the (maybe) we can move up over the medium term....
Quick moves like yesterdays are hot air - and when it cools down it all comes crashing down again -
Interest rates cut to 1% in US of A - will it really make a difference? to the main news headlines it will - and MAYBE add a little confidence to the market - BUT in reality the problems we face are caused by too much debt and too few savings...cutting to 1% hardly encouraging new savings! Plus with all the liquidity being given to banks interest rates are effectively already at 1 % or lower - but not to the MAN in the street....
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