So a huge points rally on the first day of trading after Christmas day - is it significant?
1000 points IS a big move - BUT when looked at in PERCENTAGE terms - yesterday's move did NOT even make it in to the top 20 moves since 1900 !
For source click here : Percentage moves of Dow Jones Industrial
Now look at the daily chart:
1. after a down trend of 16 days it is normal to have a reaction rally
2. can be 4-7 days long
3. some upside targets 23231, 24284 ( Fibonacci levels)
4. Longer term down trend still intact until 26100 breached
So this kind of move will generate a lot of short covering - so volatility will still be a major feature of the markets.
Pick your moments to go long or re-short
What about other markets?
FTSE daily
No break of down trend
DAX daily
Again no break of down trend
Strategy:
Probably range bound until New Year -
Correction which will alleviate oversold conditions
Once this is done - one more move down the real panic wash out
DAX 10220
FTSE 6300 (BUT may be affected by currency moves)
DOW new target 20k
CAVEAT: Watch the down trend and especially the much higher levels for a change in trend
Technical analysis of Major Markets, F/X, and anything that can be traded This is my diary for trading Views expressed in this are only for educational purposes. They ARE NOT recommendations to BUY or SELL anything!! ALL comments and criticisms welcome.
Quotes
Look back over the past, with its changing empires that rose and fell, and you can foresee the future too.
— Marcus Aurelius
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