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Look back over the past, with its changing empires that rose and fell, and you can foresee the future too.

— Marcus Aurelius

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Saturday, November 2, 2019

Ho hum - bull or bear - take your pick!

Nasdaq 100 -

2 scenarios - 1 Bullish - 2 Bearish
Which is more probable?  
probably scenario 1 - low rates here to stay, Fed, ECB and other central banks pumping liquidity into markets - which forces savers to look for returns in riskier assets (stocks, bonds etc)
BUT  there is always a probability for scenario 2 - maybe a, "wake up and smell the coffee moment" i.e.  the "people" finally realise that the Emperor really is wearing nothing!


1 Ascending triangle with a break out at week ending 01119


2 Rising wedge

  

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